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Archive / FAA Balloon Flying Handbook / FAA Balloon Flying Handbook: Chapter 4 — Weather Theory & Reports

Chapter 4 — Weather Theory & Reports

Chapter 4 — Weather Theory & Reports — Part 2

FAA-H-8083-11B (2024)

progressing at a rate of 25 to 30 miles per hour (mph). However, extreme cold fronts have been recorded moving at

speeds of up to 60 mph. A typical cold front moves in a manner opposite that of a warm front. Because it is so dense, it

stays close to the ground and acts like a snowplow, sliding under the warmer air and forcing the warmer less dense air

aloft. [Figure 4-5] The rapidly ascending air causes the temperature to decrease suddenly, forcing the creation of clouds.

The type of clouds that form depends on the stability of the warmer air mass. A cold front in the Northern Hemisphere is

normally oriented in a northeast to southwest manner and can extend for several hundred miles, encompassing a large area

of land. Prior to the passage of a typical cold front, cirriform or towering cumulus clouds are present, and cumulonimbus

clouds are possible. Rain showers and haze are possible due to the rapid development of clouds. The wind from the south-

southwest helps to replace the warm temperatures with the relative colder air. A high dew point and falling barometric

pressure are indicative of imminent cold front passage.

St. Louis Indianapolis

200 miles

Columbus

400 miles

Pittsburgh

600 miles

COLD AIR

WARM AIR

NIMBOSTRATUS

ALTOSTRATUS

CIRROSTRATUS

CIRRUS

Figure 4-5. A cold front underrunning warm, moist, stable air. Clouds are stratified and precipitation continuous. Precipitation

induces stratus in the cold air.

As the cold front passes, towering cumulus or cumulonimbus clouds continue to dominate the sky. [Figure 4-6] Depending

on the intensity of the cold front, heavy rain showers form and might be accompanied by lightning, thunder, and/or hail.

More severe cold fronts can also produce tornadoes. During cold front passage, the visibility may be poor, with winds

variable and gusty, and the temperature and dew point drop rapidly. A quickly falling barometric pressure bottoms out

during frontal passage, then begins a gradual increase. After frontal passage, the towering cumulus and cumulonimbus

clouds begin to dissipate to cumulus clouds, with a corresponding decrease in the precipitation. Good visibility eventually

prevails with the winds from the west-northwest. Temperatures remain cooler and the barometric pressure continues to rise.

St. Louis Indianapolis

200 miles

Columbus

400 miles

Pittsburgh

600 miles

WARM AIR

COLD AIR

CUMULONIMBUS

Figure 4-6. A cold front underrunning warm, moist, unstable air. Clouds are cumuliform with possible showers or thunderstorms near

the surface position of the front. Convective clouds often develop in the warm air ahead of the front. The warm, wet ground behind the

front generates low-level convection and fair-weather cumulus in the cold air

Fast-Moving Cold Front

Fast-moving cold fronts are pushed by intense pressure systems far behind the actual front. [ Figure 4-7] The friction

between the ground and the cold front retards the movement of the front and creates a steeper frontal surface. This results

in a very narrow band of weather concentrated along the leading edge of the front. If the warm air being overtaken by

the cold front is relatively stable, overcast skies and rain may occur for some distance ahead of the front. If the warm air

is unstable, scattered thunderstorms and rain showers may form. A continuous line of thunderstorms, or squall line, may

form along or ahead of the front. Squall lines present a serious hazard to pilots as squall type thunderstorms are intense and

move quickly. Behind a fast-moving cold front, the skies usually clear rapidly and the front leaves behind gusty, turbulent

winds and colder temperatures.

St. Louis Indianapolis

200 miles

Columbus

400 miles

Pittsburgh

600 miles

WARM UNSTABLE AIR

WARM UNSTABLE AIR

COLD AIR

Figure 4-7. A fast-moving cold front underrunning warm, moist, unstable air. Showers and thunderstorms develop along the surface

position of the front.

Warm Front

A warm front is actually the trailing edge of a retreating mass of cold air. A warm front occurs when a warm mass of air

advances and replaces a body of colder air. Warm fronts move slowly, typically 10 to 25 mph. The slope of the advancing

front slides over the top of the cooler air and gradually pushes it out of the area. Warm fronts contain warm air that often

has very high humidity. As the warm air is lifted, the temperature drops and condensation occurs. Prior to the passage of a

warm front, cirriform or stratiform clouds, along with fog, can be expected to form along the frontal boundary. [Figure 4-8]

In the summer months, cumulonimbus clouds (thunderstorms) are likely to develop. Light to moderate precipitation is

probable, usually in the form of rain, sleet, snow, or drizzle, punctuated by poor visibility. The wind blows from the south-

southeast, and the outside temperature is cool or cold, with increasing dew point. Finally, as the warm front approaches,

the barometric pressure continues to fall until the front passes completely.

St. Louis Indianapolis

200 miles

Columbus

400 miles

Pittsburgh

600 miles

WARM STABLE AIR

WARM STABLE AIR

Figure 4-8. A warm front with overrunning moist, stable air. Clouds are stratiform and widespread over the shallow front.

Precipitation is continuous and induces widespread stratus in the cold air.

During the passage of a warm front, stratiform clouds are visible and drizzle may be falling. The visibility is generally poor,

but improves with variable winds. The temperature rises steadily from the inflow of relatively warmer air. Usually, the

dew point remains steady and the pressure levels off. After the passage of a warm front, stratocumulus clouds predominate

and rain showers are possible. The visibility eventually improves, but hazy conditions may exist for a short period after

passage. The wind generally blows from the south-southwest. With warming temperatures, the dew point rises and then

levels off. There is generally a slight rise in barometric pressure, followed by a decrease in barometric pressure.

Stationary Front

When an air mass boundary is neither advancing nor retreating along the surface, the front is called a stationary front.

Although there is no movement of the surface position of a true stationary front, an uplift of air may occur along the frontal

boundary. If the uplifted air is stable and saturated, stratiform clouds may occur. Intermittent drizzle may occur, and if lifted

above the freezing level, icing conditions and frozen precipitation will exist. If the uplifted air is conditionally unstable and

saturation occurs, predominately cumuliform clouds will form, possibly generating thunderstorm activity.

Occluded Front

An occluded front occurs when a fast-moving cold front catches up with a slow-moving warm front. As the occluded

front approaches, warm front weather prevails, but is immediately followed by cold front weather. There are two types of

occluded fronts that can occur, and the temperatures of the colliding frontal systems play a large part in defining the type

of front and the resulting weather. A cold front occlusion occurs when a fast-moving cold front is colder than the air ahead

of the slow-moving warm front. When this occurs, the cold air replaces the cool air and forces the warm front aloft into the

atmosphere. Typically, the cold front occlusion creates a mixture of weather found in both warm and cold fronts, if the air is

relatively stable. A warm front occlusion occurs when the air ahead of the warm front is colder than the air of the cold front.

When this is the case, the cold front rides up and over the warm front. If the air forced aloft by the warm front occlusion

is unstable, the weather will be more severe than the weather found in a cold front occlusion. Embedded thunderstorms,

rain, and fog are likely to occur.

Surface Fronts

The air mass boundaries indicated on a surface weather map are called surface fronts. A surface front is the position of a

front at the Earth’s surface. The weather map shows only the location of fronts on the surface, but these fronts also have

vertical extent. For example, the colder, heavier air mass tends to flow under the warmer air mass. The underrunning mass

produces the lifting action of warm air over cold air, causing clouds and associated frontal weather.

The vertical boundary between the warm and cold air masses is a frontal surface, and slopes upward over the colder air

mass. The frontal surface lifts the warmer air mass and produces frontal cloud systems. The slope of the frontal surface

varies with the speed of the moving cold air mass, and the roughness of the underlying terrain. Under normal conditions,

the angle of inclination (slope ratio) between the frontal surface and the Earth’s surface is greater with cold fronts than

with warm fronts. The approximate height of the frontal surface over any station is determined from the analysis of upper

air observations.

Frontal passage (FROPA) affects ballooning activities because it can generate precipitation, wind shifts, significant changes

in temperature, and many other conditions hazardous to ballooning. Balloon pilots usually do not fly in the face of an

approaching front; in fact, many have a rule that they do not fly within 18 to 24 hours prior to frontal passage, particularly

if the approaching front has any significant strength associated with it. The FSS often can advise of the time a cold front

will pass a given reporting station, which assists in flight planning.

Winds & Currents

Pressure and temperature changes produce two kinds of motion in the atmosphere—vertical movement of ascending

and descending currents, and horizontal movement in the form of wind. Both types of motion in the atmosphere are

important as they affect the takeoff, landing, and in-flight operations. More important, however, is that these motions in the

atmosphere, otherwise called atmospheric circulation, cause weather changes.

Understanding wind and current circulation patterns is important for a balloon pilot because balloons are maneuvered

solely through interaction with the different layers of wind and current. By using knowledge of the Coriolis force, pressure

gradient force, and surface friction, it is possible to predict with a high degree of accuracy the potential track over the

countryside and land at a predetermined point. This skill is the mark of a competent, safety conscious balloon pilot.

Atmospheric Circulation

Three forces cause the wind to move as it does: the Coriolis force, the pressure gradient force, and surface friction. All three

forces work together at the same time.

As defined earlier, atmospheric circulation is the movement of air around the surface of the Earth caused by the uneven

heating of the Earth’s surface that upsets the equilibrium of the atmosphere, creates changes in air movement, and affects

atmospheric pressure. Because the Earth has a curved surface that rotates on a tilted axis while orbiting the sun, the

equatorial regions of the Earth receive a greater amount of heat from the sun than the polar regions. The amount of sun

heating the Earth depends upon the time of day, time of year, and the latitude of the specific region. All of these factors

affect the length of time and the angle at which sunlight strikes the surface.

In general atmospheric circulation theory, areas of low pressure exist over the equatorial regions, and areas of high pressure

exist over the polar regions due to a difference in temperature. Solar heating causes air to become less dense and rise in

equatorial areas. The resulting low pressure allows the high pressure air at the poles to flow along the planet’s surface

toward the equator. As the warm air flows toward the poles, it cools, becoming more dense, and sinks back toward the

surface. [Figure 4-9] This pattern of air circulation is correct in theory, but the circulation of air is modified by other forces.

• Expands

• Decreases density

• Rises

Air Heated

• Flows toward Earth

• Flows back to equator

Air Cooled

Figure 4-9. General circulation theory.

The speed of the Earth’s rotation causes the general flow to break up into three distinct cells in each hemisphere.

[Figure 4-10] In the Northern Hemisphere, the warm air at the equator rises upward from the surface, travels northward,

and is deflected eastward by the rotation of the Earth. By the time it has traveled one-third of the distance from the equator

to the North Pole, it is no longer moving northward, but eastward. This air cools and sinks in a belt-like area at about 30°

latitude, creating an area of high pressure as it sinks toward the surface. Then, it flows southward along the surface back

toward the equator. Coriolis force bends the flow to the right, thus creating the northeasterly trade winds that prevail from

30° latitude to the equator. Similar forces create circulation cells that encircle the Earth between 30° and 60° latitude, and

between 60° and the poles. This circulation pattern results in the prevailing westerly winds in the conterminous United

States.

Figure 4-10. Three cell circulation pattern caused by the rotation of the Earth.

Circulation patterns are further complicated by seasonal changes, differences between the surfaces of continents and oceans,

and other factors such as frictional forces caused by the topography of the Earth’s surface which modify the movement of

the air in the atmosphere. For example, within 2,000 feet of the ground, the friction between the surface and the atmosphere

slows the moving air. The wind is diverted from its path because the frictional force reduces the Coriolis force. Thus, the

wind direction at the surface varies somewhat from the wind direction just a few thousand feet above the Earth.

Coriolis Force

The Coriolis force is not perceptible to humans as they walk around because humans move slowly and travel relatively

short distances compared to the size and rotation rate of the Earth. However, the Coriolis force significantly affects bodies

that move over great distances, such as an air mass or body of water.

The Coriolis force deflects air to the right in the Northern Hemisphere, causing it to follow a curved path instead of a

straight line. The amount of deflection differs depending on the latitude. It is greatest at the poles, and diminishes to zero

at the equator. The magnitude of Coriolis force also differs with the speed of the moving body—the faster the speed, the

greater the deviation. In the Northern Hemisphere, the rotation of the Earth deflects moving air to the right and changes the

general circulation pattern of the air.

Pertinent facts about the Coriolis force:

• The Coriolis force deflection is perpendicular to the flow of air.

• The Coriolis force will deflect air to the right in the Northern Hemisphere, and to the left in the Southern Hemisphere.

• The Coriolis force is strongest at the Poles and decreases to zero at the Equator.

• The Coriolis force is zero with calm winds and increases in magnitude as wind speed increases.

• Coriolis force, in combination with other forces involved, will determine the different circulation patterns over the

Earth.

Pressure Gradient

Pressure gradient is the difference in pressure between high and low pressure areas. It is the rate of change in pressure in

a direction perpendicular, or across the isobars. Wind speed is directly proportional to the pressure gradient. This means

the strongest winds are in the areas where the pressure gradient is the greatest. Since pressure applied to a fluid is exerted

equally in all directions throughout the fluid, a pressure gradient exists in the horizontal (along the surface), as well as in

the vertical (with altitude) plane in the atmosphere. [Figure 4-11]

Isobars

• The wider the pressure gradient,

the weaker the wind.

Weak or Flat Pressure Gradient

• The closer the spacing of isobars,

the stronger the pressure gradient.

• The stronger the pressure gradient,

the stronger the wind.

Strong or Steep Pressure Gradient

Figure 4-11. Principles of pressure gradients.

The horizontal pressure gradient is steep or strong when the isobars determining the pressure gradient are close together. It

is flat or weak when the isobars are far apart. If isobars are considered as depicting atmospheric topography, a high pressure

system represents a hill of air, and a low pressure system represents a valley of air. The vertical pressure gradient always

indicates a decrease in pressure with altitude, but the rate of pressure decrease (gradient) varies directly with changes in air

density with altitude. The vertical cross section through a high and a low depicts the surface pressure gradient.

The pressure gradient force is a force that tries to equalize pressure differences. This is the force that causes high pressure

to push air toward low pressure. Thus, air would flow from high to low pressure if the pressure gradient force was the only

force acting on it.

Surface Friction

Friction is the third component that determines the flow of wind. Because the surface of the Earth is rough, it not only

slows the wind down, it also causes the diverging winds from highs and converging winds near lows. Since the Coriolis

force varies with the speed of the wind, a reduction in the wind speed by friction means a reduction of the Coriolis force.

This results in a momentary disruption of the balance. When the new balance (including friction) is reached, the air flows

at an angle across the isobars from high pressure to low pressure. This angle varies from 10° over the ocean to more than

45° over rugged terrain. Frictional effects on the air are greatest near the ground, but the effects are also carried aloft by

turbulence. Surface friction is effective in slowing the wind up to an average altitude of 2,000 feet above the ground. Above

this level, the effect of friction decreases rapidly and may be considered negligible. Air above 2,000 feet above the ground

normally flows parallel to the isobars. [Figure 4-12 and Figure 4-13]

HIGH

LOW

Surface WindGradient Wind 1,000 Feet

Gradient Wind 2,000 Feet

Gradient Wind 3,000 Feet

Figure 4-12. Examples of variations of wind direction with height.

HIGH

LOW

Increases with velocity

Coriolis Force

Depends on spacing of isobars

Pressure Gradient Force

Depends on curvature of isobars

Centrifugal Force

Gradient wind

Pressure

Gradient Force

Centrifugal &

Coriolis Force

Equal and opposite

Figure 4-13. Gradient winds

Wind Patterns

Since air always seeks out lower pressure, it flows from areas of high pressure into those of low pressure. In the Northern

Hemisphere, this flow of air from areas of high to low pressure is deflected to the right and produces a clockwise circulation

around an area of high pressure known as anticyclonic circulation. The opposite is true of low pressure areas; the air flows

toward a low and is deflected to create a counter-clockwise or cyclonic circulation.

High pressure systems are generally areas of dry, stable, descending air. Good weather is typically associated with high

pressure systems for this reason. Conversely, air flows into a low pressure area to replace rising air. This air tends to be

unstable, and usually brings increasing cloudiness and precipitation. Thus, bad weather is commonly associated with areas

of low pressure.

Convective Currents

Convection currents refer to the upward moving portion of a convection circulation, such as a thermal or the updraft in

cumulus clouds. The uneven heating of the air, due to different surfaces radiating heat in varying amounts, create small

areas of local circulation. For example, plowed ground, rocks, sand, and barren land give off a large amount of heat, while

water, trees, and other areas of vegetation tend to absorb and retain heat. Convective currents cause the bumpy, turbulent

air sometimes experienced when flying at lower altitudes during warmer weather. On a low altitude flight over varying

surfaces, updrafts are likely to occur over pavement or barren places, and downdrafts often occur over water or expansive

areas of vegetation like a group of trees. Typically, these turbulent conditions can be avoided by flying at higher altitudes.

Convective currents are particularly noticeable in areas with a land mass directly adjacent to a large body of water, such

as an ocean, large lake, or other appreciable area of water. [ Figure 4-14] During the day, land heats faster than water, so

the air over the land becomes warmer and less dense. It rises and is replaced by cooler, denser air flowing in from over

the water. This causes an onshore wind, called a sea breeze. Conversely, at night land cools faster than water, as does the

corresponding air. In this case, the warmer air over the water rises and is replaced by the cooler, denser air from the land,

creating an offshore wind called a land breeze. This reverses the local wind circulation pattern. Convective currents can

occur anywhere there is an uneven heating of the Earth’s surface.

Original source PDFPublished from pages 9–16 of the recorded source chapter.
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